U.S. Domestic Politics and China Strategy/美国国内政治与对华战略

This article explores the evolution of US domestic politics and argues that this has led to continuous shifts in US China strategy, ultimately leading to the alternating shifts in US-China relations between competition and engagement. By analyzing the dynamics of cooperation, competition, and confrontation with China across various sectors during different periods under four US administrations in the 21st century, this article illustrates the inconsistencies and discontinuities in US China strategy. The George W. Bush administration's China strategy was characterized by both cooperation and competition, engagement and precaution. The Obama administration inherited the Bush administration's "engagement and precaution" approach. Trump, adhering to the "America First" philosophy, has largely abandoned the ambiguous US China strategy of combining engagement and containment, intensifying competition with China and gradually moving toward strategic clarity.

本书稿通过论述美国国内政治演变过程, 论证美国国内政治演变导致对华战略产生赓续变化, 从而最终导致中美关系“竞争与接触”此消彼长, 不断变化与发展这一结论。通过分析21世纪四任美国政府在不同时期与中国在各领域的合作、竞争或对抗的互动关系, 阐释了美国对华战略的不一致性和不连贯性。小布什政府的对华战略既合作又竞争、既接触又防范。奥巴马政府继承了小布什政府“既接触又提防”的对华战略。特朗普持“美国优先”的理念施政, 基本放弃了美国对华战略中接触与遏制并存的模糊战略, 强化对华竞争, 逐渐走向战略清晰。