This book not only creatively provides a rigorous and practical framework for thinking that connects macro trends with personal investment and career development, but also transforms investment from a game of "guessing whether things will go up or down" into a science of "managing probability." The book consists of ten chapters, covering topics such as challenging my own assumptions, AI and two simple facts, the fallacy of regressive globalization, and that demographic structure is not a decisive factor.
本书不仅创造性地提供了一个将宏大趋势与个人投资和职业发展相连接的、严谨而实用的思考框架，而且把投资从一个“猜涨跌”的游戏，变成了一门“管理概率”的科学。全书共十章，内容包括挑战我自己的假设、AI和两个简单的事实、全球化退步的谬论、人口结构并非决定性因素等。
本书不仅创造性地提供了一个将宏大趋势与个人投资和职业发展相连接的、严谨而实用的思考框架，而且把投资从一个“猜涨跌”的游戏，变成了一门“管理概率”的科学。全书共十章，内容包括挑战我自己的假设、AI和两个简单的事实、全球化退步的谬论、人口结构并非决定性因素等。
