This book is a magnum opus by renowned Japanese economist Yukio Noguchi. Drawing on his personal experience, the author reviews Japan's economic development over the 80 years following World War II, analyzing its journey from the ruins of defeat to rapid growth, and then to prolonged stagnation, exploring the underlying institutional, policy, and social factors. Organized chronologically, the book systematically dissects the key stages of Japan's postwar economic development: beginning with how institutions and policies shaped the economic miracle during the period of rapid growth, analyzing the structural contradictions and the inherent logic of bubble formation during the transition, further tracing the deep-seated reasons for the prolonged stagnation after the bursting of the bubble, and examining the new challenges brought about by demographic structure, fiscal constraints, and global economic changes during the recovery phase. Through a comparison of the policy logic and social impact of different stages, the author presents a complete trajectory of a "successful path" gradually evolving into a "structural dilemma." This book is not only a profound reflection on the rise and fall of the Japanese economy but also provides experience and lessons for countries facing similar challenges, possessing both historical value and contemporary relevance.
本书是日本知名经济学家野口悠纪雄的集大成之作。作者以亲身经历回顾日本战后80年的经济发展,分析其从战败废墟到高速增长,再到长期停滞的历程,探讨背后的制度、政策与社会因素。全书以时间为主线,对日本战后经济的关键阶段进行系统拆解: 从高速增长时期制度与政策如何塑造经济奇迹入手,分析转型中结构性矛盾及泡沫形成的内在逻辑,进一步追溯泡沫破裂后长期低迷的深层原因,并审视复苏阶段所面临的人口结构、财政约束与全球经济变化带来的新挑战。通过对不同阶段政策逻辑及社会影响的对照,作者呈现了一条由“成功路径”逐步演变为“结构性困境”的完整轨迹。本书不仅是对日本经济兴衰的深刻反思,也为面临类似挑战的国家提供了经验和教训,兼具历史价值和现实意义。
本书是日本知名经济学家野口悠纪雄的集大成之作。作者以亲身经历回顾日本战后80年的经济发展,分析其从战败废墟到高速增长,再到长期停滞的历程,探讨背后的制度、政策与社会因素。全书以时间为主线,对日本战后经济的关键阶段进行系统拆解: 从高速增长时期制度与政策如何塑造经济奇迹入手,分析转型中结构性矛盾及泡沫形成的内在逻辑,进一步追溯泡沫破裂后长期低迷的深层原因,并审视复苏阶段所面临的人口结构、财政约束与全球经济变化带来的新挑战。通过对不同阶段政策逻辑及社会影响的对照,作者呈现了一条由“成功路径”逐步演变为“结构性困境”的完整轨迹。本书不仅是对日本经济兴衰的深刻反思,也为面临类似挑战的国家提供了经验和教训,兼具历史价值和现实意义。